Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture is successfully completed and the results are publicly reported by credible sources before January 1, 2031.
The experiment must specifically focus on "space-based carbon capture," which involves capturing and storing atmospheric carbon dioxide to launch it into space.
The experiment must be considered a "proof-of-concept," meaning it demonstrates the basic feasibility of capturing carbon dioxide from the Earth's atmosphere and preparing it for space-based storage or disposal.
"Successfully completed" means that the experiment completed its stated goals or objectives, as reported by the team conducting the experiment or as confirmed by peer review or other independent evaluation. The results need not demonstrate the feasibility of the method, negative results are sufficient.
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