[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Basic
3
Ṁ302030
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?
9% chance
📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024?
Will a hurricane hit New York / New Jersey this year?
1% chance
What will be the largest amount of rainfall NYC gets in a single storm in 2024?
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
51% chance
How many of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2024?
📜Which of the Ten Biblical Plagues of Egypt will strike New York City in 2025?
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
56% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?
53% chance
Will a flood cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
37% chance