[Metaculus] Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?
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5
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2035
18%
chance

Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is said to have adopted a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035 if CDC documents or credible media indicate that the organization as a whole (rather than eg. one rogue worker) has performed any of the following before January 1st 2035,

  • Used the words "Health at Every Size" in a favorable context in their main overweight/obesity portal, which is currently located at https://www.cdc.gov/obesity/

  • Discontinued the recommendation to aim for a normal weight range.

  • Made the claim that there is no evidence that overweight people are at greater risk of disease than people of normal weight, or a claim very similar to this one.

This question resolves ambiguously if the CDC disbands

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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