[Metaculus] Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?
Mini
8
Ṁ3512025
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if the US federal government invokes the Insurrection Act at any time between January 1, 2022 to January 1, 2025. No additional criteria are necessary for this question to resolve positively.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will the US Government shutdown before 2025?
19% chance
Project 2025: If elected, will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act within 3 months?
47% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
34% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
53% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2025?
21% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?
15% chance
Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
46% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
35% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
16% chance