Donald Trump remains president after January 2029
10
100Ṁ438
2029
6%
chance

This market resolves YES if Donald Trump continues to serve as President of the United States after January 20, 2029 (the constitutional end date of his second term) for at least 6 months (question resolves on July 20 2029. This 6 month buffer is to prevent timing issues, e.g. a delayed inauguration of his sucessor).

Resolves NO if he leaves office on or before January 20, 2029.

Resolution criteria: Official government records and news reports confirming Trump's status as president after January 20, 2029.

Sources:

  • Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Continuity of service: If Donald Trump stops being president at any point, even if he later returns, the market will resolve as NO.

    • No retroactive recovery: A temporary exit from office will disqualify continuous service.

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How will this resolve if they do what he suggested and have Vance run for President then step aside for Trump?

@LiamZ resolves NO if he stops being president, regardless of whether he somehow returns.

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