Will Iran announce it is a nuclear state by end of 2024?
Plus
6
Ṁ200Jan 2
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Iran only has to claim it has nuclear weapons; this claim does not need to be corroborated nor does there need to be evidence or testing to back the claim.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel attack at least one of Iran's nuclear facilities by year-end 2024?
21% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
15% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
34% chance