Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
Plus
52
Ṁ14kJan 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO
https://www.axios.com/2024/11/15/iran-israel-destroyed-active-nuclear-weapons-research-facility
Given that this was at Parchin and not Natanz, I take it this will not resolve the market?
Its criterion was "military or nuclear facilities". This criterion is specifically "nuclear facilities in Natanz". Is there any indication a nuclear facility was hit?
prolly will resolve to this one unless something weird happens
https://manifold.markets/SemioticRivalry/will-israel-hit-iranian-nuclear-sit
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
13% chance
Will Israel launch air strikes within Tehran city limits by the end of 2024?
47% chance
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran strike directly against Israel in 2024 following Israel’s 26th October 2024 strikes on Iran?
16% chance
Will Israel test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Israel directly attack the Bandar Abbas Oil Refinery before the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will Iran respond to israel's october 26 attack before the end of 2024
81% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance