Will there be market manipulation in the ACX 2025 prediction tournament? | Manifold

Will there be market manipulation in the ACX 2025 prediction tournament?

Plus

5

Ṁ325

2026

63%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31275/substantial-change-in-covid-origin-market-in-2025/

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31336/democrats-favored-to-win-2028-us-election-on-kalshi/

I will not trade in this market.

This will be subjective. I will do my best to resolve this market.

Resolves YES if either Metaculus question is annulled or removed from the contest

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Those metaculus questions might be removed because they are trash even if no manipulation occurs right? Then this market would resolve yes?

i think there wont be manipulation but that the questions will be removed

Related questions

will @jim beat @bayesian in the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest?

-3% 1d35% chance

Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

How many ACX posts will there be in 2024?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Will the aggregated blind mode predictions outperform aggregated full mode predictions in the 2023 ACX prediction contest?

Related questions

will @jim beat @bayesian in the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest?

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?

Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?

Will the aggregated blind mode predictions outperform aggregated full mode predictions in the 2023 ACX prediction contest?

How many ACX posts will there be in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules