A new open weights reasoning model w/ <= 13B parameters will be released before Jan 1st 2025
Basic
4
Ṁ137
Dec 31
65%
chance

This market predicts whether a new open weights AI reasoning model with 13B or fewer parameters, comparable in performance to QwQ and o1-mini, will be released before January 1st, 2025.

Resolution criteria: Official announcement or release of the model by an AI company, with published parameter count and open weights.

References:

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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