Will new housing starts average over 1,500 per month in 2024? | Manifold

Will new housing starts average over 1,500 per month in 2024?

3

90Ṁ40

Jan 1

59%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolved according to FRED:

From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

New housing starts average over 1,500 per month (70%)

2024 Matt Yglesias Predictions

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

I think this resolves NO

Time capsule for comparison against Yglesias:

Are you off by a factor of 1000? https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/current/index.html

People are also trading

How many US residential housing construction starts will be reported for Q1 2024? (Single family)

Will Austin build more than 10M square footage of new construction in 2025?

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Will September 2024 YoY housing CPI exceed 1%?

Will September 2024 YoY housing CPI exceed 2%?

Will homeownership become affordable again by the end of 2026?

Will London build more than 60,000 houses a year on average between September 2022 and the next UK election?

Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?

Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?

Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029

Related questions

How many US residential housing construction starts will be reported for Q1 2024? (Single family)

Will Austin build more than 10M square footage of new construction in 2025?

Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?

Will September 2024 YoY housing CPI exceed 1%?

Will September 2024 YoY housing CPI exceed 2%?

Will homeownership become affordable again by the end of 2026?

Will London build more than 60,000 houses a year on average between September 2022 and the next UK election?

Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?

Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?

Will the UK build >1.5m new homes by the end of Q2 2029

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules