At the end of 2030 will Manifold users think Wikipedia has changed for the better compared to 2020?
Basic
2
Ṁ12029
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At the end of 2030 after market close I will link a poll in the comments that asks Manifold users if Wikipedia has improved for the better. If the majority result is YES, this market resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page have a criticism section by end of 2024?
18% chance
Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page reach “Good article” status by end of 2024?
6% chance
Will manifold become wikipedian, that is, characterized by skepticism and resistance towards new creations
31% chance
Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?
29% chance
What will be the most popular Wikipedia article in 2024?
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
71% chance
Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
30% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?
35% chance
Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors decrease by 2030?
57% chance
Will English Wikipedia have more page views in 2024 than in 2023?
80% chance