Trudeau out before April?
Plus
21
Ṁ1007Apr 1
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Trudeau:
• Announces his resignation as Prime Minister of Canada, OR
• Ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time between December 22, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
If Trudeau announces his resignation but remains in office beyond March 31, 2025, the market will still resolve to “Yes” immediately upon the announcement.
Resolution Source:
• Primary source: Official statements from Justin Trudeau or the Government of Canada.
• Secondary: Consensus from credible media outlets and reporting.
If no such announcement or change occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trudeau still be prime minister by the end of 2024
96% chance
Will Justin Trudeau announce his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party in 2024?
10% chance
Will Trudeau of Canada will be asked to step down in 2024?
46% chance
Will Pierre Poilievre dethrone JUSTIN TRUDEAU in the 2025 CANADIAN Election
77% chance
Will Justin Trudeau be the Liberal candidate in the next Canadian federal election?
26% chance
Will Trudeau announce he will resign by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?
43% chance
Will Canada call for an early federal election before the 2025 election?
74% chance
Will another Trudeau cabinet minister resign in protest before end of January?
47% chance
Canada Politics: Will Justin Trudeau remain the leader of the Liberal party through 2024?
95% chance