The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.
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Just to clarify for other bettors and the creator:
I am betting under the understanding that "by" means 'before the end of', rather than 'before the beginning of'. This has been a long-standing issue on Manifold. In this case the end date and the other markets in the creator's series are the information I used.
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