Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2029?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ3179
2030
56%
chance

The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Just to clarify for other bettors and the creator:

I am betting under the understanding that "by" means 'before the end of', rather than 'before the beginning of'. This has been a long-standing issue on Manifold. In this case the end date and the other markets in the creator's series are the information I used.

@JoshuaWilkes Sorry about the confusion, I will re-word it to "by Dec 31st 2029"

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules