Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
14
1kṀ818
2026
65%
chance

Starship has been chosen by the [Artemis program](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starship_HLS) to serve as the landing and return vehicle for upcoming lunar missions. This market resolves to YES if Starship HLS (inclusive of any renaming of this configuration or perhaps a new Starship variant) successfully delivers astronauts to the moon and returns with them prior to another entity (commercial or otherwise) beating them to the same outcome.

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