Will a recession start in 2024 conditional on the following oil prices?
Basic
6
Ṁ1582026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
34%
WTI oil prices hitting >= $100 at any point in 2024
25%
WTI oil prices never reach $100 in 2024
First contract resolves N/A if oil prices never hit $100 in 2024; second contract resolves N/A if oil prices ever hit $100 in 2024. Otherwise, the market resolves YES if by the end of 2025 it is declared that a recession started at any point in 2024, and resolves NO on December 31, 2025 if no recession has been declared yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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