Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

Plus

98

Ṁ29k

2027

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

The 10Y3M and 10Y2Y yield curves have both "uninverted": what's the longest time between these uninversions and an NBER recession in the last 100 years? 6 months?

Each month, I will return the Creator Earnings from this market as added liquidity.

Related questions

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?

Will the US enter a recession by January 1, 2023?

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?

Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

Will the US officially enter a recession in 2023? (Announcement by NBER)

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

US Recession in 2025?

Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?

Related questions

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Will the US enter a recession by January 1, 2023?

Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?

Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?

Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

US Recession in 2025?

Will the US officially enter a recession in 2023? (Announcement by NBER)

Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules