[Bins up to 36,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Israeli side
Plus
19
Ṁ2775Jan 1
0.6%
<= 1,0000
17%
1,001-2,000
59%
2,001-4,000
12%
4,001-8,000
6%
8,001-16,000
3%
16,001-36,000
2%
>36,000
EDIT: First bin should read "<=1,000" not "<=1,0000", and I'll be resolving it if there are fewer than or equal to 1,000 casualties.
Including both soldiers and civilians, as reported by Israeli sources. This market will resolve after the war is over and official estimates are available. Close date may be extended.
The following criteria will be used to determine if the war is over. Either of the following should be true:
There's a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas that lasts for at least 30 days.
There's a 30-day period in which less than 100 people die on the Palestinian side due to the war, even in the absence of a formal ceasefire agreement.
I won't put mana on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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