I like this question, but I would prefer a more focused one - there is the Identity trial going on right now!

So I created a question specifically for the outcome of this trial - please vote:
https://manifold.markets/PiterBunt/will-craig-wright-be-recognized-as?r=UGl0ZXJCdW50

P.S. if it is NOT ok to share it here, feel free to remove my comment, no hard feeling!
It is my first question created))

Craig Wright is a fraud and a scammer and anyone trying to perpetuate his false claims is either deliberately working against your best interests or they are falling for the scam

Doesn't that linked article say that gwern seems to have changed his mind?
"This was one of the first and strongest "evidence" supporting Craig's claims, published by a well-known magazine and a reputable researcher. I've personally talked with several people who were convinced of the authenticity of Craig's claims using this publication as one of their primary justifications.

The linked thread has a long discussion between Greg Maxwell (/u/nullc) and Gwern (/u/gwern), where Greg calls him out and repeatedly asks him to retract his previous claims; Gwern acknowledges that he was deceived, but refuses to make an official retraction."

Satoshi Nakamoto turning out to be the kind of person who would sue people for libel for saying he's not Satoshi would be like if Banksy turned out to be the kind of person who... hang on, let me try and think of something funny.

It would be like if Banksy sued people for vandalism after they drew graffiti art on his billboard.