Will $10 million be spent on hardening US infrastructure from EMP/CME before 2028?
Standard
12
Ṁ5502028
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if, in the future and before 2028, any US government agency spends more than $10 million dollars on hardening electrical systems to protect civilians from effects of an EMP attack or a CME like the Carrington Event.
Spending on hardening only military or police assets doesn't count. Improvements to infrastructure that help to mitigate the problem but aren't proposed explicitly to mitigate EMP or CME events don't count either.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?
69% chance
Will there be a cybersecurity event affecting US infrastructure and dealing more than $20 million in damage by 2025
50% chance
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?
60% chance
Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the U.S. between July 21 and Dec 31, 2024
34% chance
Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
35% chance
Will there be a cyber or physical attack on a US power plant between March 2024 -> November 2024?
32% chance
Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
84% chance
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
60% chance
Will climate geoengineering get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
58% chance
Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]