If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year? | Manifold

If another Carrington Event occurred tomorrow, would most Manifold users still be alive in a year?

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11

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2124

71%

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1W

1M

ALL

Wikipedia article for the Carrington Event

For the sake of the question, "another Carrington Event" is defined as a storm with a Dst of -1000 nT hitting the Earth.

This market won't resolve unless the event in question actually occurs. The word "tomorrow" should be interpreted relative to when you are reading this, rather than relative to when the market was begun.

See also: /singer/if-another-carrington-event-occurre-taf44snmty

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#Natural Disasters

#Existential Risk

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I'll admit I can't add much of predictive value at the moment, but I hugely appreciate you making so many useful markets about this super important issue, and within the next year or so as part of my studies I expect to read up a bunch on this topic and return with actually useful credences lol

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