Will President Zelenskyy apologize to President Trump by the end of March 2025?
78
100Ṁ2590
Apr 1
25%
chance

To resolve YES, he must be contrite and use the words "I'm sorry", "I apologize" or one of the phrases listed below in reference to his performance in the Oval Office on February 28th. Some variation in wording is allowed and it is also admissible if Trump says that Zelenskyy had apologized for the incident in private.

Casual / Everyday Situations

  • That was my mistake.

  • I messed up.

  • I take full responsibility.

  • I hope you can forgive me.

  • I feel terrible about this.

  • That was wrong of me.

Formal / Professional Situations

  • I regret the mistake.

  • I take full accountability.

  • I sincerely regret this oversight.

  • Please allow me to make things right.

  • It was an error on my part.

  • I deeply regret any inconvenience caused.

  • I understand the impact of my actions.

More Personal / Emotional Situations

  • I didn’t intend to hurt you.

  • I was wrong, and I see that now.

  • I should have done better.

  • It was never my intention to cause harm.

  • I hope to earn back your trust.

  • That was my mistake.

  • I messed up.

  • I take full responsibility.

  • I hope you can forgive me.

  • I feel terrible about this.

  • That was wrong of me.

Formal / Professional Situations

  • I regret the mistake.

  • I take full accountability.

  • I sincerely regret this oversight.

  • Please allow me to make things right.

  • It was an error on my part.

  • I deeply regret any inconvenience caused.

  • I understand the impact of my actions.

More Personal / Emotional Situations

  • I was wrong, and I see that now.

  • I should have done better.

  • It was never my intention to cause harm.

  • I hope to earn back your trust.

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How does this resolve if Trump says Zelenskyy apologised in private, but Zelenskyy says he didn't?

@Alexef54 I will apply holistic assessment based on how Zelenskyy behaves during the next meeting. The market description requires both contrition and the words of apology.

I have sold out my shares and won't trade on this market anymore in case the resolution is subjective.

@skibidist What if the 'apology'/statement is more about the negative interaction, as opposed to Zelensky apologizing for his own remarks? E.g. "I'm sorry our last meeting ended on such a sour note."

@snazzlePop It will not count. I actually wrote "must be contrite" in the description to rule out exactly this scenario.. The market is intended to measure the probability that Zelenskyy 'bends the knee'

@skibidist I feel like “I deeply regret any inconvenience caused. and “It was never my intention to cause harm.” are similar non-apologies that dodge the question

@GleamingRhino The market requires contrition. So if he comes in all recalcitrant wearing a sweater and says "I deeply regret any inconvenience caused", that won't be sufficient.

must be contrite and use the words

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