Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?
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68
Ṁ3210
2028
50%
chance

Resolves 'Yes' if a foldable phone designed and sold by Apple is available to purchase by consumers in North America before January 1st, 2028.

(Pre-orders would not count.)

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bought Ṁ7 YES

A 2027 version of the question

@Nikos A commenter there also linked this article saying that they are working on it. https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-develops-a-foldable-clamshell-iphone

bought Ṁ30 YES from 47% to 53%

Does it have to have a folding screen, or does any folding component qualify?

@JimHays Hmm. I assumed it would be a folding screen (since current and previous iPhones have all essentially been large touchscreens), but good question!

Considering that others have already traded on this market, let's say that any folding hardware component that's part of the core structure of the device qualifies.