Predict whether OpenAI will announce a successor to their o3 model before June 30, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI.
o3 version 2 or something like that would not be counted as a successor. must be o4 or o5, etc.
(based on San Francisco local time)
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I think this can be resolved to yes now
"o3 version 2 or something like that would not be counted as a successor. must be o4 or o5, etc."
today Sam Altman announced that the successor o4 mini (yes mini belongs to o4 series too) will be released in the next weeks. As the original questions was about announcment and not release I think this fullfills the criteria to close as yes
https://x.com/sama/status/1908167621624856998
@MalachiteEagle On retrospect, I have no idea I thought this was >4/5 probability a month ago, but 50% seems low atm.