Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?
44
Ṁ1627
2028
23%
Joe Biden
22%
Donald Trump
16%
Other
14%
Keith Richards
6%
King Charles
5%
Alexey Guzey
4%
Chuck Norris
2%
Mitch McConnell
1.3%
Bernie Sanders

Determined by combination of data and/or poll if need be when the time comes

#Death markets
#Manifold
#Jimmy Carter
#Meta-markets
#Manifold Users
#Death
#Jimmy Carter Daily
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upgraded to basic

noam had a bump in popularity but not might make it 6mo after

Jimmy now in first place, unless you count. “Other.” Still undervalued!

Given the lack of a "none" option, I guess it doesn't have to be anywhere near as big as Jimmy Carter, just bigger than all other ones on the list, right?

@ArmandodiMatteo yes

Giant death market

wht does the expert think @JCDM

"Will Taylor Swift's private jet crash before Hanukkah?"

bought Ṁ175 Taylor Swift NO

@JCDM I'll rush to create TSPJCM account before you do

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