Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on? | Manifold

Six months after Jimmy Carter dies, who will be the primary death market of choice for Manifold users to create/bet on?

Plus

45

Ṁ1639

2028

24%

Joe Biden

20%

Donald Trump

16%

Other

13%

Keith Richards

6%

King Charles

5%

Alexey Guzey

4%

Chuck Norris

3%

Dick van Dyke

1.9%

Mitch McConnell

1.2%

Bernie Sanders

Determined by combination of data and/or poll if need be when the time comes

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reposted

upgraded to basic

noam had a bump in popularity but not might make it 6mo after

Jimmy now in first place, unless you count. “Other.” Still undervalued!

Given the lack of a "none" option, I guess it doesn't have to be anywhere near as big as Jimmy Carter, just bigger than all other ones on the list, right?

@ArmandodiMatteo yes

Giant death market

wht does the expert think @JCDM

"Will Taylor Swift's private jet crash before Hanukkah?"

bought Ṁ175 Taylor Swift NO

@JCDM I'll rush to create TSPJCM account before you do

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Will Manifold Markets stop being weird about Jimmy Carter before 2025?

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Will any manifold user be able to visit Jimmy Carter before he dies

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(How well) Will Manifold correctly predict the month when Jimmy Carter dies ?

Will Jimmy Carter die before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events?

Will another USA president or former president die before Jimmy Carter does?

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