🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (4/100 DONE)

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187

Ṁ35k

2120

Civilization 7 releases

Grand Theft Auto 6 releases

10%

Book of Mormon ends on Broadway

11%

Shrek 5 releases

12%

Kingdom Hearts 4 releases

13%

Death Stranding 2 releases

15%

Another MLB perfect game pitched

15%

Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire

16%

1300 Pokemon Released

17%

Sagrada Familia Church completed

17%

The first $5T market cap company

17%

Skibidi Toilet ends

18%

One piece manga ends

18%

Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases

19%

New Pope after Francis

19%

Human walks on moon again

20%

Putin no longer in power in Russia

20%

Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out

20%

Human runs official marathon under 2h

22%

Manifold reaches 20K MAU

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
2nd event: 2% (happens next)
...
100th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.

If an option becomes impossible, ask and I'll try to clarify in the answer text. If it cannot be done in a good way, we'll NA that option.

For the future mods that have to deal with this good luck.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ500 NO

@strutheo Bitcoin has hit 100k

@strutheo Mario 64 has a 120 star speedrun in 1:35:28

https://www.speedrun.com/sm64

@strutheo

120 star just hit

shrek 5 just announced for 2026 some time

apparently likely to happen some time after the US adds the 52nd state

bought Ṁ10 NO

Haha, I'll arb that

coming up soon

Happening Thursday

good find haha

uhoh (not canceled yet though!)

theyre now claiming end of 2026 for this

reposted

our first resolution 67 days after creation !

Just clarifying — would this mean:

(A) [the previous incarnation that comes BEFORE the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the 20th Doctor],

(B) [the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the next incarnation that comes AFTER the 20th Doctor]?

And a similar "(A) or (B)?" for the "25th Doctor" question.

@PaintspotInfez the 20th one is revealed and becomes the new one , is what i meant

@strutheo - so (A) presumably. Got it! :D

the more i learn about this, it might have happened before the question was made, so i might NA/make another

reposted

so close to our first one finally!

@strutheo What's the licensing agreement look like for, "Coolfold?"

@KeenenWatts haha you can dm me, anything in the true spirit of coolfold can use the #coolfold tag (maybe not be an official CoolFold challenge though)

reposted

looking like sweden might be the first one!

@strutheo does anything which hasn't happened by 2120 resolve 100%, or will this market be extended?

@DanielTilkin im fine with it going on forever, thats for another generation to decide tbh

@strutheo This could be summer or winter olympics, right? I assume things like the Youth Olympic Games don't count for this?

@DanielTilkin either summer or winter, no youth wont count

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