Exactly six months after May 1st 2024 I will calculate the returns of these choices, and the five with the best ROI will resolve evenly (20% if 5 options, 25% if 4 options, etc) OTHER will not be chosen.
An option must make a positive ROI, otherwise it resolves NO
Suggest options in the comments below
I reserve the right to refuse any suggestion
Spreadsheet to track Here
See: /strutheo/financial-advice-which-investment-w-8a3491b50cf6
1,000
1.00@strutheo MSTR had a 10-1 split on August 1st, https://www.microstrategy.com/press/microstrategy-announces-10-for-1-stock-split_07-11-2024. You might want to divide the May 1 price in the spreadsheet by 10, since it's currently showing a large loss, instead of a 30% gain.
@strutheo do dividends and interest payments count for this market? You say "ROI", which would imply yes, but the spreadsheet is price/price, which doesn't consider dividends.
In particular, this will control whether SPRXX has a positive ROI or not. (Which is pretty unlikely to matter, granted.)
Is this https://kalshi.com/markets/tiktoksell/congress-passes-law-to-force-tiktok-sale? This market is already closed, does that make it NO? (You can't N/A an option in a multiple choice, right?
There's also https://kalshi.com/markets/tiktokban/us-bans-tiktok, which is about the US, not congress.
interesting this is so high up, but not on the main one i am investing from
set up a spreadsheet to help track this and the other related markets: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s1OxlwEalnadLVi8z0OMdV-tToKSRUnu8NpE52AF1hQ/edit#gid=0
@strutheo Part of the description seems missing. Remind me how it goes again?
At some exact time, whales will manipulate the market and choose ten of the investments trading at 0% for you to buy; everything else will immediately resolve NO, and then you will resolve only the five best performing ones to 20% each. Is that right, and what's the exact time?
@HarrisonNathan i am not doing the investments on this one, this one is no longer whalebait just a normal market, ill keep track of the prices on may 1st and 6mo after.
i am using this to inform my investments here:
@strutheo Okay, so I will make recommendations on that one at the end of the month.
But I am now totally confused as to how this market resolves.
@strutheo "Exactly six months after May 1st 2024 I will calculate the returns of those ten choices"
What are "those ten choices" now, if it's not whalebait?
@traders thank you for all the help - i am working on a new version of this market
in the meantime i will keep this one open, but i am removing the profit incentive and some other whalebait aspects. it is now just a normal market: 'which five investments will give the best return 6 months after may 1st'