📻Which artists on the Billboard Hot 100 Singles (2023) will have a song make the list in 5 years?
Basic
30
Ṁ1411
2029
93%
Mariah Carey
88%
Taylor Swift
88%
Drake
85%
The Weeknd
83%
Ed Sheeran
81%
Post Malone
80%
Jung Kook
78%
Dua Lipa
76%
Miley Cyrus
74%
Billie Eilish
73%
Beyonce
73%
Ariana Grande
66%
Nicki Minaj
66%
Zach Bryan
66%
Cardi B
66%
Noah Kahan
66%
Meghan Trainor
66%
SZA
61%
Olivia Rodrigo
52%
Ice Spice

Link: https://www.billboard.com/charts/year-end/hot-100-songs/

Using "Year End" charts for 2023 and 2028.

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This market has like half the options at 50% and while I realize artists like John Lennon and Otis Redding have had posthumous hits, and I love “Holly Jolly Christmas”, I will be gobsmacked if Burl Ives has a hit in 2028 or is even featured on one.

@ClubmasterTransparent @strutheo Several dead artists on this list. What about new market “which artist will have posthumous hit by 2028” it’s combination death market and music charts market.

reposted

bump

bought Ṁ10 Ice Spice NO

This is an extremely difficult market to bet on, as it's not only gambling on which artists will have relevancy to make the list in 5 years, but also on which will even have an album cycle in 2028, as many big artists have years where no album or single big enough to reach the year end 100 is even released. Drake and Taylor are the only ones big enough and putting out music consistently enough to be really secure. Most of these people won't even have an eligible song in 2028.

However, super interesting market idea. Excited to see how the trends move as time goes on.

@Will94fc yeah i think its going to be interesting seeing how the patterns evolve through the years, but i also think its way too uncertain/early beyond some big names right now

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