Will a basketball player score 50,000 points in the NBA by EOY 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ9262031
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
LeBron James recently became the first player in NBA history to score 40,000 career points.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Very unlikely. Someone could score 30 points a game in all 82 regular season games for 20 years, and they'd still be 800 points short. And playoff games normally don't count toward this stat.
The only player with a chance to do this by 2030 is Lebron, but he would need to play at least six or seven more seasons at his current rate. (In his prime he scored 2000 points a year, but now he rests a significant fraction of games.)
Related questions
Related questions
Will a basketball player score 45,000 points in the NBA by EOY 2035?
33% chance
Will another basketball player score 40,000 points in the NBA by EOY 2030?
27% chance
Will another basketball player score 40,000 points in the NBA by EOY 2035?
31% chance
Will an NBA player score more than 100 points in a game before 2030?
19% chance
Will an NBA player score more than 81 points in a game before the end of the 2024-25 NBA season?
19% chance
Will Bronny James score more than 1000 points in his NBA career?
26% chance
Will I score 1,000,000 points in one game of Dorfromantik in 2024?
6% chance
How high scoring will the NBA be in the 2024-25 season?
Will LeBron James be considered the GOAT in 2030?
38% chance
Will Bronny score 10+ points in the 24-25 NBA regular season?
81% chance