Will a human win the annual 2025 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?
Basic
14
Ṁ3332025
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_versus_Horse_Marathon
Takes place in Wales every June. Despite the name it is not a full marathon, and is usually 22mi/35km long. The first time a human won the race on foot was in 2004. Humans won in both 2022 and 2023, but only four times total since 1980. Humans have an advantage if the temperature is hot that day, but horses benefit if the route is especially hilly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a horse who once won the Kentucky Derby be euthanized in 2024?
50% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
46% chance
Will I run a marathon in 2024?
18% chance
Will I run a half marathon in 2024?
33% chance
Will a human have offspring with a non-human animal before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will a non human animal win a nobel prize by 4000 AD?
47% chance
Will Steven N Austad win his bet against Jay Olshansky on whether there will be a 150 year old human by 2150?
78% chance
Will any horse will win the Triple Crown in 2025?
18% chance
Who will win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?
Will I run a marathon in 2024?
19% chance