Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050? | Manifold

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2050?

Plus

31

Ṁ3015

2051

90%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Space exploration

#Space colonization

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 NO

No one has walked on the moon in over 50 years, which should imply a prior of 2/3 against anyone doing it in the next 25. Then the actual number should be lower because weadd a woman-specific clause.

reposted

bump

Related questions

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

+5% 1d77% chance

Will a human walk on the moon this decade (2020s)?🚀🛰️🧑‍🚀☄️ 🌕🌓

+5% 1d77% chance

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?

Will a human walk on the moon by the end of 2024

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2032?

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?

Related questions

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?

Will a human walk on the moon this decade (2020s)?🚀🛰️🧑‍🚀☄️ 🌕🌓

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Will a human walk on the moon by the end of 2024

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2029?

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2032?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules