Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?
24
1kṀ14282091
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Date extends until either happens
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
If Venezuela invades Guyana, will any other country intervene militarily?
80% chance
When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
70% chance
Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2026?
13% chance
Conditional on a Venezuela-Guyana conflict by 2024, which countries are going to militarily intervene by 2024 year end?
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
93% chance
Sort by:
four soldiers killed on armenia border recently, they claim azerbaijan is about to invade https://www.barrons.com/news/azerbaijan-planning-full-scale-war-armenia-warns-b59bbd1f
venezuela border build up recently https://www.csis.org/analysis/miscalculation-and-escalation-over-essequibo-new-insights-risks-venezuelas-compellence
People are also trading
Related questions
If Venezuela invades Guyana, will any other country intervene militarily?
80% chance
When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war?
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
70% chance
Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2026?
13% chance
Conditional on a Venezuela-Guyana conflict by 2024, which countries are going to militarily intervene by 2024 year end?
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
93% chance