Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?
Plus
23
Ṁ13722091
76%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Date extends until either happens
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
four soldiers killed on armenia border recently, they claim azerbaijan is about to invade https://www.barrons.com/news/azerbaijan-planning-full-scale-war-armenia-warns-b59bbd1f
venezuela border build up recently https://www.csis.org/analysis/miscalculation-and-escalation-over-essequibo-new-insights-risks-venezuelas-compellence
Related questions
Related questions
Will Guyana and Venezuela have a military conflict by the end of 2024? [Ṁ1,000 subsidy]
5% chance
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before EOY 2024?
5% chance
Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2025?
4% chance
Will Venezuela invade Brazil by 2024 year end?
2% chance
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war in 2024?
7% chance
Will Brazil intervene militarily to prevent Venezuela from annexing any part of Guyana?
3% chance
Will Azerbaijan attack Armenia in 2024?
7% chance
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by 2025?
7% chance
If Venezuela invades Guyana, will any other country intervene militarily?
80% chance
Conditional on a Venezuela-Guyana conflict by 2024, which countries are going to militarily intervene by 2024 year end?