Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months?
➕
Plus
35
Ṁ11k
resolved Nov 1
Resolved
NO

Tracking spreadsheet: Link HERE

Portfolio 10% in these 10 picks chosen by Manifold predictions (purchased May 1st 2024)

  • META

  • QCOM

  • GOOG

  • BRK.B

  • MSFT

  • COST

  • SPY

  • TQQQ

  • AMZN

  • DPZ

See:

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Ṁ1,000
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almost done

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 50% order

Put up some No orders if yall are still very confident that the portfolio will improve by a couple relative percentage points as of the end of the month.

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not much longer!

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Now at 9.89%

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now

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current -

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about a month in

@strutheo Too bad you didn't pick Nvidia...

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+6% a week in!

going strong

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up 3.5% in 3 days woo

PICKS ARE LOCKED IN - TY FOR YOUR HELP! HERE WE GO

META, QCOM, GOOG, BRK.B, MSFT, COST, SPY, TQQQ, AMZN, DPZ

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investments locking in ~8h!

My rationale for betting YES: I think the expected value of the portfolio will be less than that of S&P, but that it'll still outperform it in the majority of possible futures (basically, I think there's a lopsided probability distribution). The picked stocks so far are very "number go up", and chances are they will, but it's not very well hedged for a tech sector downturn (neither is S&P but it's still more diverse).

@retr0id keep in mind they're still shifting !

shakeup - a lot of non tech stocks went to the top of the portfolio with 2 days to go

currently looking like the following unless things change in a few days:

BRKB

GOOG

DPZ

QCOM

UPRO

TQQQ

SPY

NVDA

META

BTC

@strutheo sad that the Yugioh cards didn’t make the cut

@mattyb yea nobody suggested a good YGO one, still doing 2x packs of unopened old magic cards as a side investment though!

/strutheo/will-i-regret-buying-two-unopened-m

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