Tracking spreadsheet: Link HERE
Portfolio 10% in these 10 picks chosen by Manifold predictions (purchased May 1st 2024)
META
QCOM
GOOG
BRK.B
MSFT
COST
SPY
TQQQ
AMZN
DPZ
See:
not much longer!
updating spreadsheet with price data https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1s1OxlwEalnadLVi8z0OMdV-tToKSRUnu8NpE52AF1hQ/edit#gid=0
My rationale for betting YES: I think the expected value of the portfolio will be less than that of S&P, but that it'll still outperform it in the majority of possible futures (basically, I think there's a lopsided probability distribution). The picked stocks so far are very "number go up", and chances are they will, but it's not very well hedged for a tech sector downturn (neither is S&P but it's still more diverse).
@mattyb yea nobody suggested a good YGO one, still doing 2x packs of unopened old magic cards as a side investment though!