Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
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2kṀ48k2026
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if 10000 or more people are infected by the end of 2025 in the US, as reported by this website
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This market seems high https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-at-least-100000-americans-die-sCUdAs8UuC
@palcu thanks. I was wondering what was driving the surge of traders on NO.
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/h5n1-much-more-than-you-wanted-to
@palcu guys, the 10 million cases market is higher https://manifold.markets/AlexanderLeCampbell/will-there-be-a-1m-bird-flu-outbrea
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