resolves yes if congress approves her as pick
1,000
3.00@Shai Went from weird-but-in-Overton FP views to Kremlin billboard overnight in 2017 following hush-hush visits to Russian allied states and big anonymous political donations and media spots, it's frankly very obvious. There are plenty of people who legitimately hold (or at least believe they hold) views close to those she espouses, but the pivot was stark and clearly not genuine if you were paying attention at the time (tbf, not many people were).
@speck It's clear she's a russian asset, even if not clear if it's directly or indirectly. The most likely thing is that her guru (the man she was raised to regard as a God) liked Putin b/c Putin is anti-LGBT+, and probably Putin paid him to influence Tulsi, but it's not 100%. It could also be that Tulsi liked Putin b/c she's so strongly anti-gay, and then echoed views from the right-wing echo-chamber which originated with putin paying influencers to push pro-Kremlin propaganda, which Tulsi then repeated. That's less likely. Most likely is she and/or her guru got big wads of cash to sell out her country. Lots of influencers took the same cash.
Interesting to see the National Review come out against her, but I think she's probably still gonna get through
[duplicate]
@strutheo IMO the plain reading of the title would be that a recess appointment resolves NO, because she is not "confirmed" in such a case.
@strutheo it's your question, don't ask me. Everyone here seems to be saying, "resolve matching the description you made".
And I can't comment what might happen on a sweepstakes market. No moderator can.
@strutheo only the sweepstakes part is managed by Manifold.
Don't let them steal your autonomy. Be your own creator.
@Eliza on the one hand, I agree the question creator should have a clear opinion on resolution criteria and express that. On the other hand.... wouldn't it be weird AF if a sweeps question resolved differently from the non-sweeps part of the question? I can understand where they're coming from by saying "it's managed by Manifold now" even if the mana market technically isn't.
@MattP idk about you but I'm not letting anyone steal my question and change it. If they want to own the Mana market also they will have to deal with that separately. It still says it is owned by the creator and they are still able to edit everything. And no one ever said they lost control over it.
@Eliza how would you feel if you were betting in a sweeps/mana market and the sweeps market resolved differently than the mana market? I get what you're saying, my position is just that from a practical perspective they can't actually have a situation where they resolve differently.
@MattP If they want to take over both markets it should say they are both managed by Manifold and no longer have the original creator's name on it.
There is no 'rule' that they have to resolve the same. When I pressed about this in September, Joshua indicated that they may very well resolve differently.
@strutheo I would say the spirit of the question is about confirmation, so recess appointment would be N/A. I haven't bet.
@CraigDemel I mean, I would assume that if there's a recess appointment, we can still wait for the confirmation hearings that will happen later, no? unless you think she gets a recess appointment and then never gets a senate confirmation hearing at all? are ppl saying this could be a possibility, or is the senate obligated to take it up at their next session?
@benshindel AFAICT she would have to be confirmed at the beginning of the next session, starting in 2026, which is after the current close date of this question.
@strutheo And now we wait...
Of course, there's still the question of what happens if she's recess appointed and then leaves before the beginning of the 2026 season.