Background

A while ago, the OpenAI board tried to remove Sam Altman from leading OpenAI. They could not tell us why, and it lead to a backlash of "OpenAI is nothing without its people", where the employees of OpenAI threatened with walking out on it. This lead to the decision being reversed.

It has now come out that OpenAI threatens employees with aggressive NDAs to ensure that it doesn't get critiqued. Furthermore, partly because of this, and partly because of general arrogance from Sam Altman, I see the tide turning against OpenAI.

In my view, AI companies will nearly determine the future of humanity, and the main reason for such NDAs is an adversarial stance towards the public. If possible, it seems rational for the public to destroy adversaries who credibly aspire to determine their future, so I think this could actually grow to a significant backlash against OpenAI.

Resolution criteria

Idk, I'm too busy to write up some dubious formalization right now, so let's say vibes

I may choose to ignore fluctuations shorter than 1 year, like if Sam Altman is removed from CEO but comes back again.