Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
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Premium
47
Ṁ1084
2027
55%
Yes, and he will be re-elected.
42%
Yes, but he will not be re-elected.
3%
No, he will not finish his first term.

One and only one of the answers resolves to "yes" if he finishes December 9th, 2027, local time, as the official president on record or not.

Closes on October 20th, 2027 or the day before the first round of the next presidential elections, whichever comes first.

I will not bet on this question.

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This is a dupe two other markets I wasn't aware of. Since those got a lot more traders and volume, I will close this one as N/A:

Turns out I can't cancel it. Maybe @mods can do it.

We could, but honestly I'd rather not. Duplicate questions aren't a big deal, and having it as one question is actually slightly different than two separate questions. (For example, there isn't a way to put a limit order for "yes, but not re-elected" on the pair of markets.)

Resolving N/A rolls back trades; if folks have made profitable trades they deserve to keep those profits. Overall I wouldn't worry about it much, since the market has been running for a while. (If you'd just created it recently I'd be more inclined to resolve it N/A.)

If for whatever reason you end up not wanting to deal with this, the mod team can handle resolution when the time comes.

Okay thanks. I'll resolve it in 2027.

Probably, will bet later.

bought Ṁ10 Yes, and he will be ... YES
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