Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
Plus
42
Ṁ5127Dec 6
96%
Michigan
96%
Nevada
96%
Arizona
96%
Wisconsin
Resolved
YESPennsylvania
Resolved
YESGeorgia
Resolved
YESNorth Carolina
Resolved
YESFlorida
Resolves YES for states that vote more Republican for president in 2024 compared to 2020, percentage wise.
States that swing Democratic resolve NO.
Specific details:
Resolves YES if the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2024 presidential election is greater than the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2020 presidential election within a given state.
Approximate 2020 margins:
Arizona: -0.31%
Florida: 3.36%
Georgia: -0.24%
Michigan: -2.78%
Nevada: -2.39%
North Carolina: 1.35%
Pennsylvania: -1.16%
Wisconsin: -0.63%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Good idea
Related questions
Related questions
Which “swing states” will be won by a Republican candidate in 2024 US presidential election?
Will the Republican presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Biden in 2020?
99% chance
Which “swing states” will be won by a Democratic candidate in 2024 US presidential election?
Which of the following swing district House reps will win reelection in 2024?
Which state Senate seat will be won by a Republican candidate in the 2024 election?
Which states will be decided by less than 10 points in 2024?
Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?
Which Senate Seats will flip in the 2024 election?
Which states/territories will go Democrat in the 2024 presidential election?
Which states will vote for the same party in the 2024 United States Presidential Election?