Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
Standard
40
Ṁ3514Dec 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
44%
Michigan
67%
Nevada
65%
Pennsylvania
60%
Georgia
54%
Arizona
48%
Wisconsin
57%
North Carolina
88%
Florida
Resolves YES for states that vote more Republican for president in 2024 compared to 2020, percentage wise.
States that swing Democratic resolve NO.
Specific details:
Resolves YES if the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2024 presidential election is greater than the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2020 presidential election within a given state.
Approximate 2020 margins:
Arizona: -0.31%
Florida: 3.36%
Georgia: -0.24%
Michigan: -2.78%
Nevada: -2.39%
North Carolina: 1.35%
Pennsylvania: -1.16%
Wisconsin: -0.63%
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Good idea
Related questions
Related questions
Which states will be won by the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2024?
Which states/territories will go Democrat in the 2024 presidential election?
Which “swing states” will be won by a Republican candidate in 2024 US presidential election?
Which “swing states” will be won by a Democratic candidate in 2024 US presidential election?
Which state Senate seat will be won by a Republican candidate in the 2024 election?
What will be the most Republican state in 2024?
Swing State Power Ranking: Will this swing state vote for the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election?
How will the three "rust belt" swing states go in 2024?
Will ANY 2020 red states/districts flip blue in 2024?
50% chance
Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?