Resolves YES if, by the deadline, there is a research paper on AI alignment by the author Tetraspace West – or however she prefers to spell her name, it might be Tetra Jones or whatever. If I’m in doubt that an author of a paper is Tetraspace West, I will consult @TetraspaceWest on Twitter to confirm or deny it.
The market resolves YES if a peer-reviewed paper comes out from Tetraspace. It also resolves YES if something from Tetraspace is posted to ArXiv or to another open platform that looks reasonably like a research paper – I will make this judgment call. If there’s a written work which I find doubtful whether it’s an AI alignment research paper, I will consult someone knowledgeable about AI alignment research to be sure.
If there seems to be no such paper at the deadline, the market resolves NO.
Did I miss anything? The only thing I've seen is https://twitter.com/TetraspaceWest/status/1765072132726530365#m.
@NiplavYushtun Well, see this for one thing
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-tetraspace-quit-her-job-to-wor
also lurk moar, rtfm, skill issue, etc