The January 15 ceasefire agreement specifies the Rafah crossing will open 7 days after implementation begins (January 19). This market tracks whether this specific commitment is met.
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves YES if both:
* Egyptian border authorities confirm the Rafah crossing is open for civilian movement by 23:59 UTC January 26, 2025
* Palestinian border authorities confirm the same
- Resolves NO if:
* The crossing remains closed through 23:59 UTC January 26, 2025
* Only partial or restricted ope
ning occurs
1,000
3.00Resolved NO.
Reparations are still ongoing. Although aid trucks have been able to cross, civilians have not.
According to Reuters on January 27th, injured individuals have not yet been able to cross.
“Today, EU Foreign Ministers agreed to redeploy it to the Rafah Crossing Point between Gaza and Egypt. This will allow a number of injured individuals to leave Gaza and receive medical care,”
https://www.reuters.com/world/eu-ministers-agree-revive-rafah-border-mission-2025-01-27/
@untzuntz adjudicated fairly but still depressing nevertheless. Hoping the ones that need medical care will eventually be able to leave through rafah to get treated in hospitals israel wont bomb.