Will Jon Stewart, Bill Maher, or John Oliver ever run for president?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ3689
2100
8%
chance

Resolves YES if at least one of the people in the title ever file to be a candidate for President of the United States. Merely declaring candidacy won't by itself resolve this market YES.

Close date updated to 2099-12-31 11:59 pm

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I think there is enough people around Bill to convince him not to, assuming he doesn't become mentally incompetent. Jon knows his lane as an outsider (with millions from Apple). Jon Oliver isn't and almost certainly won't become eligible.

Betting yes because I think that the interest rate should be something like 10% APY which suggests a much higher yes price

Long term interest rate market

resolves no by 2049? or when they all die if they haven't run? Also, John Oliver is not a natural-born-citizen, so he is not eligible (unless there is a change in the Constitution)

predicts NO

@jorge Resolves no when they all die and haven't run. I originally put 2050 as an arbitrarily far-off date, but at the last second I changed it to an election year, which in retrospect could probably cause confusion.

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