Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against malaria before 2028?
Mini
8
Ṁ217
2027
45%
chance

Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of malaria in the United States before January 1, 2028. This does not include emergency use authorization or other forms of limited authorization. Resolves NO otherwise.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

I expect this to be doable, I do not expect approval to be granted within 5 years.

Comment hidden