Will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2100?
Basic
8
Ṁ838
2100
10%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

  1. Energy Capture threshold:

    • The structure must capture and utilize at least 1% of the Sun's total energy output.

    • Official measurements from at least 3 independent space agencies confirm the energy capture threshold has been reached.

  2. Specifications:

    • The structure(s) can be of any design: Dyson Sphere, Dyson Swarm, etc

  3. Human Civilization Control:

    • The structure has to be built by humans or artificial intelligence originating from earth, or a cooperation between both. Discovery of Dyson sphere built by Extraterrestrial aliens does not count.

  4. The question resolves NEGATIVE if:

    • January 1, 2101 passes without reaching the 1% threshold

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So, if it is built by a rouge ASI that terminated all biological life, does it count? Resolution criteria suggest yes, but that's not what I'd expect given the market title.

Calibration ain't calibrating

@StepanBakhmarin hopefully as more people answer the calibration will occur that usually happens after 15 - 20 people answer.

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