Outcome of Molly White's FEC complaint vs. Coinbase (campaign contributions)
3
Ṁ89
2026
20%
FEC dismisses complaint without investigation
24%
FEC opens investigation but takes no action, or is stopped by court decision
33%
FEC reaches settlement
18%
FEC imposes fines, but does not refer to DOJ
6%
FEC refers to DOJ (with or without fines)

This market resolves according to the outcome of the complaint against Coinbase that Molly White (web3isgoinggreat) filed with the FEC: https://www.citationneeded.news/coinbase-campaign-finance-violation/

This question resolves based on action taken against Coinbase specifically, not against the PACs also named in the complaint. For example if the investigation concludes with no action against Coinbase and a settlement with Fairshake PAC, this question resolves as "FEC takes no action".

I believe that a settlement would typically involve Coinbase voluntarily agreeing to pay a fine, possibly with no admission of wrongdoing. This is different from FEC "imposing" a fine.

If the case gets litigated in court, this question resolves on the ultimate outcome. If fines are imposed, I will wait to resolve until the deadline for court challenges has passed.

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