How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?
Plus
25
Ṁ23172029
50%
9
10%
8
18%
7
8%
6
2%
5
12%
4 or fewer
Refers to the first such case the US Supreme Court rules on in Trump's second term. If no such case is ruled on during Trump's first term, resolves to "4 or fewer".
If the decision involves multiple votes with different outcomes, any justice who votes that the order is unconstitutional at least once will be counted. E.g. if there are two different 6-3 votes and the majority changes by one justice between them, this market resolves to "7".
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Federal Supreme Court refers to the United States Supreme Court, not state supreme courts. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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