If someone dies because of a Letzte Generation protest before 2025, will it be an activist?
➕
Plus
10
Ṁ173
Dec 31
73%
chance

If the following market resolves NO, this market will resolve N/A:

Otherwise, this will resolve YES if the first such person to die will themselves have been a participant in the protest. If it was someone else, then this will resolve NO. Like in the linked market, I will only count deaths that are recognized by German-language media consensus as plausibly the direct consequence of a protest. I will not bet here myself.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

So someone dying because their ambulance got stuck in traffic, caused by the protests, does not count?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules