The killing does not have to be strictly because they're Jewish, but it must be for something related, like their support for Israel. Or if it's unclear what the motive was, that must seem likely.
If the death was accidental that still counts if the violence was intentional. e.g. someone burns down a building and doesn't realize there's someone inside. But if it's completely accidental, like a peaceful and nonthreatening rally that causes a neurotic Jewish person to have a heart attack out of fear, or getting into a car accident with a Jew, that doesn't count.
Only counts instances after market creation.
1,000
3.00Seems like we're getting close.* https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/11/nyregion/brooklyn-stabbing-hate-crime.html
Not so sure. The guy recovered and there are not so many months left in the year.
I mean, it's winding down when there's actual negotiations. But even still, there's the northern front. ("Won't anyone think of Hezbollah?!?!!!") And, well, from what I've seen, it's a decent split. Some of them just want Trump to win / want to do virtue signaling (ugh, I hate the term) / purity testing, some are sick of it and want to actually shut the protestors down, and feel like they're a bunch of chaos agents who aren't ever satisfied. So we'll see.
There won't be a negotiated end of the war, just Hamas ground down until it's a minor insurgency. I am not so sure that Hezbollah is a big motivator for these kinds of things the way Hamas is. Hezbollah is not Palestinians. This stabbing came right after Israel killed a bunch of Hamas commanders (and "100 civilians" according to the Hamas-run Ministry of Health). Fewer and fewer of those kinds of things as time goes on.
Eh, some ceasefire will be negotiated, I think Israel's in too precarious a spot internationally to not. It may have to be with Abbas or Barghouti though.
And Hezbollah has definitely been a motivator online, if only because people don't know shit about it, and it's portrayed as Israel just randomly going after another country.
I don't think Israel will negotiate a ceasefire. And Abbas and Barghouti (and Dahlan and the UAE etc) don't run Hamas. If you mean Israel dismantles Hamas and agrees with some reasonably trustworthy Arab actors on some way of governing Gaza, then that will happen sure. That's not a "ceasefire", it's a Hamas defeat.
If he really has moderated, then he will be an ineffective leader, totally unable to take on the Hamas types. Look if anyone other than Israel really has security responsibility in Gaza, it will be the Gulf states. Not any Palestinians. The PA is reliant on Israel to prevent Hamas from overthrowing it in the West Bank.
@CamillePerrin it also sounds like there's some significant dispute about what happened - if this had happened after market but Alnaji was later acquitted, how would the market handle that?
In the ongoing investigation, eyewitness statements and video evidence clash over what caused Kessler to fall. Alnaji’s lawyer, Ron Bamieh, asserts that multiple witnesses are wrong in their statements, citing a video that shows Alnaji about 7 or 8 feet from Kessler when he fell.
“One eyewitness said Alnaji hit him over the head with his bullhorn, which is just not true, according to the video,” Bamieh said.
Prior to the fall, Bamieh said Kessler was hurling profanities at the Palestinian protesters while recording with his phone. Alnaji approached Kessler and attempted to knock the phone from his hand with a megaphone, possibly hitting him on the chin. Alnaji backed off after this confrontation.
Bamieh is confident that this video will exonerate his client from the charges.
https://sundial.csun.edu/177245/news/csun-professor-arrested-under-suspicion-of-death-of-protester/
@Gabrielle obviously this is all tangential to this market since it happened prior; but it illustrates the difficulties here.