Will Republicans win Pennsylvania, Georgia in the 2024 Presidential?
Standard
21
แน2220Nov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
81%
Pennsylvania given Georgia
79%
Georgia given Pennsylvania
69%
Pennsylvania or Georgia
56%
Georgia (regardless of Pennsylvania)
54%
Pennsylvania and Georgia
53%
Exactly one of Pennsylvania or Georgia
49%
Pennsylvania (regardless of Georgia)
43%
Pennsylvania given not Georgia
36%
Georgia given not Pennsylvania
29%
Neither Pennsylvania nor Georgia
27%
Only Georgia
16%
Only Pennsylvania
This will resolve based on the combination of the two states Pennsylvania and Georgia in which the Republican Party gets a majority of electoral college votes in the 2024 Presidential election. The conditional markets will resolve N/A if the condition is not met.
Note that this collection of markets is highly redundant and arbitrage might easily is possible. I will pay a M$2,000 bounty to the first bot to successfully keep these approximately consistent. If no-one does it in the first week or so, I might try that myself.
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Is "Pennsylvania or Georgia" inclusive or or XOR?
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