Will Republicans win Pennsylvania, Georgia in the 2024 Presidential?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ13k
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES
Pennsylvania (regardless of Georgia)
Resolved
YES
Georgia (regardless of Pennsylvania)
Resolved
YES
Pennsylvania and Georgia
Resolved
YES
Pennsylvania or Georgia
Resolved
YES
Pennsylvania given Georgia
Resolved
YES
Georgia given Pennsylvania
Resolved
N/A
Georgia given not Pennsylvania
Resolved
N/A
Pennsylvania given not Georgia
Resolved
NO
Only Pennsylvania
Resolved
NO
Only Georgia
Resolved
NO
Neither Pennsylvania nor Georgia
Resolved
NO
Exactly one of Pennsylvania or Georgia

This will resolve based on the combination of the two states Pennsylvania and Georgia in which the Republican Party gets a majority of electoral college votes in the 2024 Presidential election. The conditional markets will resolve N/A if the condition is not met.

Note that this collection of markets is highly redundant and arbitrage might easily is possible. I will pay a M$2,000 bounty to the first bot to successfully keep these approximately consistent. If no-one does it in the first week or so, I might try that myself.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Republicans won both, I resolved all the markets I could but would need @mods for the two that would have to resolve N/A. Thanks!

@1941159478 Resolved.

YES Pennsylvania or Georgia directly arbable with NO on neither Pennsylvania nor Georgia.

You could also add things like PA given (GA or PA). You know, if you wanted to be complete about it.

Is "Pennsylvania or Georgia" inclusive or or XOR?

@nikki I assume inclusive.

@1941159478 XOR might be an interesting addition?

@EvanDaniel Yes, I meant inclusive. Also just added xor.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules