Will Republicans win the popular vote in the 2024 US House Elections?
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43
4.5k
Nov 6
41%
chance

In 2022, amid coverage of a red wave that did not come to pass, Republicans actually won the popular vote in the House Elections. Will they do so again in 2024?

Recent elections:

2022 - Republicans win 50.6% to 47.8%

2020 - Dems win 50.3% to 47.2%

2018 - Dems win 53.4% to 44.8%

2016 - Republicans win 49.1% to 48.0%

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bought Ṁ50 YES

538 has this as basically a tie: Generic ballot : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight.

bought Ṁ20 YES from 39% to 41%
bought Ṁ10 YES

23 seats this cycle have no Democrat on the ballot versus 12 with no Republican.

bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 37%

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