Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Plus
45
Ṁ12kDec 31
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate in the 2024 U.S. presidential election receives more than 50% of the total popular vote, constituting a majority. If no candidate secures a majority and only a plurality of votes is achieved, the market will resolve to "No." In the event that the 2024 U.S. presidential election is not held, this market will resolve to "N/A."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
11% chance
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
Will any candidate receive a record number of votes in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
52% chance
Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
99% chance
Other than Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who will win the most votes in the 2024 United States presidential election?
Will a single independent candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
1% chance
Will at least four candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
99% chance