Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
Basic
10
แน€339
2028
42%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
44%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 2028
7%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
7%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican loses in 2028

Resolves to the correct combination of these events. This is an experiment to see how much people think the whitehouse is a "metronome" that is inclined to swing from one party to the other.

Get
แน€1,000
and
S3.00
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTerms + Mana-only Termsโ€ขPrivacyโ€ขRules