Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
Basic
11
Ṁ4642028
44%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
46%
A Republican wins in 2024 and a Republican does not win in 2028
5%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican wins in 2028
5%
A Republican loses in 2024 and a Republican loses in 2028
Resolves to the correct combination of these events. This is an experiment to see how much people think the whitehouse is a "metronome" that is inclined to swing from one party to the other.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Republicans win 2028 election?
43% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
56% chance
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
49% chance
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
40% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
56% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?
48% chance
Will there be a competitive Republican primary in 2028?
57% chance
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
31% chance